DEBTOR NATION

RUMBLINGS FROM THE PIT

"Threat of Default": US hits debt limit on Saturday, but by using a slew of shuffle maneuvers, shell games, tricks, and devices, the US won't actually run out of money until "after Labor Day," Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew told Congress in a letter. In his previous statement, the US would be "okay until Labor Day." Today, he was more frantic. He begged Congress to get its act together and do something "sooner rather than later" to “remove the threat of default.” In its infinite wisdom, Congress had suspended the debt limit till May 18, rather than dealing with it. The debt, though still over the limit, declined in April and early May; tax extractions were fattened by asset bubbles. But since May 10, the debt has once again been rising.

US Consumers haven’t felt this good since July 2007, just before all heck broke loose. An "encouraging sign," Reuters sez. For short sellers? The preliminary results of the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index jumped to 83.7 in May from 76.4 in April. Big part of the reason: households in the upper third of the income bracket felt flush from the ballooning stock market – the wealth effect. The Fed giveth.... They were able to brush off the payroll tax increase, which Wal-Mart shoppers, as we’ve seen, had a harder time brushing off. The Consumer Expectations index rose to 74.8 from 67.8. And the Current Economic Conditions index leaped to 97.5 from 89.9, the highest since October 2007, a month before the stock markets began to swoon. Impeccable timing, the hallmark of consumers.

Car sales in the EU crept up 1.7% in April, from a horrible April last year. The fact that the parade of ever worsening numbers has finally stopped, at least for a moment, was greeted with a huge sigh of relief. The details of the report aren’t that rosy: sales in the UK, now the second largest market after Germany, jumped 14.8%. Without the UK, sales for the rest of the EU actually dropped 0.46%. It wasn't exactly a smooth trend across the member states: Greece finally seems to have hit bottom, and sales increased 20.9%; in Denmark, they jumped 30.7% and in Finland 142.6%; but they crashed 26% in the Netherlands and 51.9% in Cyprus; they rose 3.8% in Germany but dropped 5.3% in France.

Deafening US media hype: Japan Core Machinery Orders jumped 14.2% in March, seasonally adjusted, from February. The eternal money-printing and fiscal-stimulus apologists dragged it out as proof that Abenomics is working massively. Alas, these are highly volatile big-ticket items, though “core” orders exclude container ships, nuclear reactors, etc., which are even more volatile. To iron out the volatility, the Cabinet Office also offers quarterly numbers. Soooo, core orders in the first quarter of 2013 were actually 4.8% lower than in the first quarter of 2012, when Noda was prime minister. Kampai!

The Japanese take care of their college grads: 93.9% of all those who graduated on March 31, the end of the academic year, had jobs by April 1, the beginning of the business year. This was the second year in a row that the percentage increased, so it’s NOT related to Abenomics, please! College recruitment, like so many things in Japan, is a highly structured process with the idea to get pretty much everyone squared away before the end of the academic year. But those who miss this entry into Japan Inc. have the greatest difficulty getting through the door later. The system is unforgiving punitive to those who don’t toe the line.

About that secret inflation in Argentina: famously, no one is allowed to accurately track or discuss inflation, but all the whisper numbers floating around peg it at over 20% annually. Now confirmation has come from official sources: wage negotiations between unions and the government of President Cristina Fernández Kirchner. Unions are her base. In fact, she personally met with the leaders of six unions that represent about 2 million workers, or 40% of all workers covered by wage negotiations, and made a deal, similar to the deals she’d made with Railway and Bus Drivers’ unions. The agreed-upon wage increases this year to keep the purchasing power of her voters intact? The closest estimate to official CPI that Argentina has? 24%!

 

Thursday, May 16, 2013

Last time French-made cars were sold is the US? 1980? Long time ago. But... French-made models of the Toyota Yaris are coming to the US, Canada, and Mexico, apparently to keep the plant in Onnaing, near Valenciennes, busy. Car sales in Europe have been catastrophic, and plant shutdowns and layoffs are hard to do, especially in France where even thinking about it causes a huge political ruckus. In 2012, 182,841 Yaris were sold in Europe, accounting for 22% of Toyota's total European sales - a highly successful model at the low end of the lineup. North America will get US versions, not EU versions. So no diesels.

Plunging price of gasoline shaves 0.4% from Consumer Price Index in April. Total energy prices dropped 4.3%, with gasoline down 8.1%. We’ll remember those days fondly because that cheap gasoline is now history; prices have been climbing in May! Food prices rose 0.2%. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.1%. For the 12-month period, CPI is up 1.1% and core CPI 1.7%. The Fed might complain that this is below target; but it’s still inflation, and it still whittles down the value of your and my dollars, and everything denominated in them, and it’s still higher than the interest that banks pay on most deposits and CDs, though it’s better than 4.3%, as we had some months in 2011.

Another blow to US manufacturing: Philadelphia Fed's Business Outlook Survey – for manufacturing in eastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey, and Delaware – dropped into the negative, to -5.2 in May, from 1.3 in April (below zero = decline). The New York Fed's Empire State Manufacturing survey, reported yesterday (below), had also pointed at a contraction. Ominous: new orders dropped to -7.9, the worst since June last year, from -1 in April; the Workweek Index dropped to -12.4, and the Employment Index dropped to -8.7. Manufacturing is only a small part of the US economy, and this region is a small part of the US, so we’re not going to panic just yet...

US Housing Bubble confirmed: Heard an ad on the radio on how to get rich quick by flipping houses – and we’ll show you how. It conveniently offered an 800-number. Something or other was free.... but keep your credit card handy. These kinds of things usually appear late in a bubble.

Death penalty for financial fraud in China. A court in Wenzhou slapped a local, 39-year-old gal, former general manager of Wenzhou Xinfu Investment Consulting Co., with the maximum penalty available, death, for having illegally raised funds for investments starting in 2007. Everything worked fine until October 2011, when her scheme collapsed and she ended up defaulting on a 428 million yuan loan ($69.6 million). Leaves open the question if they’d slap the same penalty on TBTF bank CEOs every time their banks need a bailout. A bit draconian maybe, but something the US might want to consider as well, after not having prosecuted anyone responsible for the financial crisis and for the Fed’s bailouts that followed, though they did hound, as in China, small-scale crooks like Bernie Madoff.

Bad loans at Chinese commercial banks swelled by 6.8% in the first quarter, to 526.5 billion yuan ($85.6 billion), the sixth consecutive quarter of increases, raising the non-performing loan ratio to 0.96%. And NPLs are expected to rise further. One of the many elements in a boundless debt-fueled scheme that will eventually, like the micro-case above, unravel.

The Japanese Diet rubber-stamped the ¥92.6 trillion ($926 billion) budget for fiscal 2013, which started April 1. A breath-taking ¥43 trillion ($425 billion) will have to be borrowed to make ends meet - that's 46.4% of the total outlays! But no problem. Abenomics will get Japan out of its fiscal quagmire, one way or the other, by printing money. Government spending on public works – welfare spending for Japan Inc. – will rise to ¥5.3 trillion. In a show of rare fiscal discipline, welfare spending for the poor will be cut by ¥67 billion. Priorities of Abenomics are becoming clear.

Japanese GDP growth less than a year ago! The economy grew 0.9% in the first quarter 2013 from Q4 last year, or a 3.5% annual rate. Private demand was up some, with investment in housing being fairly strong, but corporate investment lackluster. Public demand – government spending and investment, including boondoggles – jumped, as promised by Abenomics. Exports rose, and so did imports, but not as much. All seasonally adjusted. Great? Give credit to Abenomics for that 0.9% growth in GDP? Because it was the fastest growth since... oops, well, since the first quarter of 2012, when the economy grew 1.3%. Abenomics can't even keep up with Noda's maligned era.

 

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Megabanks "are NOT too big to jail," claimed Attorney General Eric Holder today in a heroic about-face at a House Judiciary hearing, after he'd explained to the Senate Judiciary Committee in early March why exactly they were indeed too big to jail. The Justice Department has not prosecuted any megabanks despite their shenanigans leading up to the Financial Crisis and continuing to this day. A debacle I wrote about.... 'Regulatory Capture' Emasculated The Regulators Of Megabanks.

French purchasing power plunges 1.5% per capita, and 0.9% for all households together in 2012 (difference due to population growth), the worst performance since 1984. Combination of: disposable income creeping up only 0.9%, and prices rising 1.9%. Ah yes, the many benefits of "moderate" or even "below-target" inflation.

Tough day for US manufacturing: industrial production dropped 0.5% in April, after increasing in February and March; year-over-year, it's up only 1.9%. Within it, manufacturing fell 0.4%; fingers point at motor vehicles and parts, down 1.3%. Capacity utilization fell 0.5% to 77.8%, and is 2.4 percentage points below long-term average. Add to that: the New York Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Survey for May dipped into the red (-1.43, from 3.05 in April). Employment sub-indices were mixed, with number of employees up slightly, but hours worked down sharply. Darkest cloud: new orders were negative. Executive optimism for the next six months declined, second month in a row. Not an exemplary picture of a growing economy.

"My question is, who is going to jail?" wondered House Speaker John Boehner about the IRS scandal. So why didn't he and other Republicans ask that question after the financial crisis, the largest scandal in the US ever?

Swooning energy prices, particularly gasoline, pushed down wholesale prices by 0.7% in April, seasonally adjusted. Food prices also dropped, a godsend for those of us who like to eat, with veggies and meat down the most. Without food and energy, which are highly volatile, the core Producer Price Index rose 0.1%. For the 12-month period, the unadjusted PPI is up a scant 0.6%. If they could just keep it that way!

Warning shot: Russian car sales plunged 8% in April. For the year, they are now 2% below the same period last year, a record year during which sales had jumped 11% from 2011. The good times appear to be over. Is the EU malaise heading east?

Europe stuck in recession: the Eurozone economy shrank 0.2% in the first quarter, from Q4, the sixth quarter of recession in a row, another glorious record. The 27-nation EU contracted 0.1%. Year over year, they’re down 1.0% and 0.7% respectively. Germany's economy inched up 0.1% in Q1, after having plunged 0.7% in Q4, thus barely avoiding the red stamp of recession. Both quarters combined, Germany is in the hole. The lousy performance in both quarters surprisingly surprised pundits. France is formally in a recession; its economy contracted 0.2% in Q1, third contraction in four quarters. Italy and Spain both shriveled 0.5%. Unperturbed, German stocks, while down a smidgen for the day so far, are still above their prior all-time intra-day high of July 2007. This will be seen as the greatest accomplishment of the central bank money-printing binge: separating (at least temporarily) stock markets from reality and allowing them to float in a dream world.

China's pile of foreign exchange grew by 294 billion yuan to 27.363 trillion yuan ($4.41 trillion) in April, according to the People's Bank of China, the fifth month in a row of increases. For the first four months of 2013, the monthly influx averaged 400 billion yuan, nine times the average in 2012. Earlier this month, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, the top forex regulator, had threatened to crack down on foreign money flooding the country. China is where the hot money goes – on the bet that the yuan will continue to rise against the dollar which, through the arduous and heroic efforts of the Fed, will continue to lose value.

Nikkei jumps 2.29%, to 15,096, highest since December 28, 2007. If it keeps going like this, it will be above 40,000 soon. This thing has become a joke – even more so than the US stock markets. Japanese government bonds continue their descent, pushing yields up, with the 10-year JGB hitting 0.90% but then settled down at 0.85%. The yen skidded.

 

Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Ex-leaders of consumer electronics: Sharp's huge loss is a sign of how Japanese powerhouses have lost the edge to Korean, US, and Chinese rivals. A doozy: ¥545 billion ($5.3 billion) in red ink, a record in its storied century-long history. A top exec reshuffle has been announced, but it won't fix the real issue that is bedeviling Sharp and other Japanese consumer electronics companies, once world leaders, now not even also-rans. Abenomics won't be able to cure that either. This isn't an issue of costs and exchange rates, but of innovation, products, and now increasingly brand (they squandered it).

China's white paper on human rights, helpfully issued in English so that foreigners like me can get their brains washed, starts out promisingly: "Since the arrival of the 21st century, the Chinese people have been making constant efforts in advancing human rights protection along the path of building socialism with Chinese characteristics under the leadership of the Communist Party of China (CPC) and the Chinese government." Further into it, the paper clarifies priorities: "China has a population of over 1.3 billion. For such a populous country, it would be impossible to protect the people's rights and interests without first developing the economy to feed and clothe the people." Money before rights. But it also points out how the government has become much more transparent in many ways, which few people will dispute (text in full).

Inflation hits Japan: wholesale prices rose for 5th month in a row in April, by 0.3% from March, with the index at 101.4 (2010 prices = 100). Electricity, gas, water, lumber, and wood products jumped over 3%. Some of it was due to the weakening yen that made imported fuels and raw materials more expensive. How exactly higher prices would cure Japan’s economic ills remains a mystery, though it will give a stylish haircut to all those owning Japanese Government Bonds....

Japanese Government Bonds skid once again: yields rose, for the 10-year JGB to 0.85%, from 0.79% yesterday, from 0.69% on Friday, and from 0.315% on April 5, the day they went bonkers. While yields are still ultra-low, the rise has been relentless, not at all what the BOJ wants – and now there's also volatility, rare sight in the JGB market. Japanese institutions and individuals are buying foreign bonds with higher yields to diversify out of the yen that has been doomed by Abenomics to decline. If this turns into a massive dumping of yen, if the BOJ cannot keep it under control, the selloff might turn into a rout, and the BOJ and government-controlled institutions will be the only ones left buying. In sympathy, mortgage rates are creeping up, as are bank loans. The opposite of what Abenomics wants to accomplish. Free money is suddenly becoming more expensive. 

Click for Older Rumblings....

VIDEOS

Wolf Richter on Max Keiser's "On The Edge" 
"The Pauperization of America"

Wolf Richter on the Keiser Report
"Where the Money Goes to Die"

Clarke and Dawe: European Debt Crisis
Two favorite Australian Comedians

Clarke and Dawe: Quantitative Easing
Big industrial-strength printers, all facing the window

The Fastest Drive Ever Through San Francisco
Don't try to do this yourself
 

humanERROR - by "Frying Dutchman"
Powerful, lyrical appeal to the Japanese. Slams nuke industry, MSM, bureaucrats, and politicians.

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Thursday
Nov012012

Desperate French Government Threatens To “Requisition” Vacant Buildings

Prime Minister Jean-Marc Ayrault made it official: the government would requisition vacant buildings regardless of who owned them, including office buildings. It would then convert them to apartments and make them available to the homeless and the “badly housed.”

As a first step, he asked for “an inventory of available buildings.” That list should be on his desk in “a few weeks,” he said. He was in a rush to identify these properties “so that we can undertake at least several operations in January and February 2013.” A desperate move to halt the collapse of his numbers. And another broadside at investors.

It’s getting tough for him and President François Hollande. As France sinks deeper into its economic mire, people are losing patience: those who still have confidence in Hollande plunged to 36%, the lowest level of any president six months after taking office (the data go back to 1981). He dropped to 31% among workers —a catastrophe for a Socialist—and to 21% among shop keepers, artisans, business owners, and CEOs [they’d already stirred up the pot: A Capitalist Revolt in Socialist France].

And Prime Minister Ayrault hit 34%. Among his predecessors, only Édith Cresson in 1991 and Alain Juppé in 1995 were lower. Both were sacked, Cresson 11 months into her term, and Juppé two years into his. Only 19% of the shop keepers, artisans, business owners, and CEOs had any confidence in him—despite his “gaffe” that he would be open to discussing the 35-hour workweek to bring down the cost of labor, which was followed by furious backpedaling from the entire Socialist power structure. Among workers, his confidence level dwindled to 29%. An untenable position. He should be polishing his resume.

Instead, he’d requisition buildings.

With his announcement, he backed Housing minister Cécile Duflot. She’d already pointed at the “seriousness of the situation” and declared—as the first major cold wave imposed additional risks on the homeless—that she’d study the possibility of requisitioning vacant buildings for the purpose of converting them into housing for the homeless and the “badly housed.”

To preempt the conservative opposition from having public conniptions, she dragged their former standard-bearer Jacques Chirac out of the closet. Back in 1995 when he was still mayor of Paris, he requisitioned, “as everyone remembers,” about 1,000 offices and apartments.

Requisitioning buildings and apartments is a tactic for all sides of the political spectrum. The law that authorized it was passed in 1945 to deal with the post-World War II housing crunch. And during the 1960s, over 100,000 requisition orders were issued.

Advocacy groups such as Jeudi Noir (Black Thursday) and Droit au Logement (Right to Housing) have been pressuring the government to do something about the “housing crisis.” To make a public point, they chose a famous symbol as backdrop for their press conference: 1a, Place des Vosges—a building of 1500 sq. meters (16,000 sq. ft.) that has been vacant since 1965.

I used to live not far from there and walked through the Place de Vosges a lot, always wondering why someone would allow such a valuable property to remain empty. At the time, it was visibly going to heck. Yet it’s in an awesome location, facing the garden in the middle of the square, with galleries and cafés on two sides, and no traffic—an immense luxury in Paris. Members of Jeudi Noir squatted that building for a year until they were removed in 2010, a highly mediatized affair.

Instead of doing his utmost to encourage private sector construction, Prime Minister Ayrault has jumped on the bandwagon of the squatters, sending shivers down the spines of those who invest in real estate development and construction. With perfect timing: just when France desperately needs that business to pick up speed—not only to create sorely needed housing units, but also to create jobs [Worse than the Infamous Lehman September: France’s Private Sector Gets Kicked off a Cliff].

Unemployment is over 10%, youth unemployment over 25%. In disadvantaged areas, such as a number of volatile suburbs, unemployment is far higher. For example, in Clichy-sous-Bois, an eastern suburb of Paris, unemployment is 22%, and youth unemployment is astronomical. The pressure in these areas is rising. They’ve blown up before. Jobs would relieve some of it. But requisitioning buildings and scaring investors won’t.

To counter ugly economic trends that started while Nicolas Sarkozy was still president, the government has re-unearthed the catchword “competitiveness”—entailing the cherished and untouchable 35-hour workweek, equally untouchable wages, and sky-high employer-paid payroll charges. An explosive mix. And it just blew up. Read.... Attack On France’s Sacred Cow.

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Reader Comments (7)

The poor quality of political leadership in Europe is getting quite worrisome.
November 1, 2012 | Unregistered CommenterKuldip Singh
Kuldip Singh - "worrisome" is a classic understatement.
November 1, 2012 | Registered CommenterWolf Richter
Basically what we see is the slow motion traincrash of the 'Continental European System' (aka Rheinlandisch, welfare state, social democratic and a few others).
Costs of entitlements is going up and considerably, while these are unfunded for and taxes should go down iso up to remain competitive. Add the necessary reversal of overborrowing in the government and private (consumer sector), effectively causing a considerable negative stimulus, you end up with a system that is simply completely unaffordable.

Starting from there. Europe's political classes still are of the opinion that the European people (or in fact people all ove the world) support massively 'solidarity' in general. This is simply completely wrong. They support mainly solidarity as it serves their purposes. They eg mainly like good free healthcare because it serves them and their families. That it serves also others is simply of secundary importance.
This is even worse as the financing of things has to be done from cutting somewhere else and not from growth like before. Europes lower and middle classes are simply scared for what the future will bring.

Effectively Europe now has to cut in solidarity the choice being: spread over the whole population or mainly over the people that have never really contributed to society. Main problem being how can a system based on solidarity work if you demand from especially the middle groups a huge contribution while the entitlements are meager at least. While at the same times taxes are that high that it is virtually impossible for 'normal' people to safe next to paying for all the (not really very) goodies. In an enviroment where there is basically no growth in real incomes. Impossible to do. (At the other side how you can keep people believing in the hogwash used to sell it when you kick certain people out). Made worse by the Eurocrisis (bad PR in general, bad PR for solidarity (as everybody will see it will cost alot of money) and simply will costs extra money (that isnot there, requiring cuts in local stuff).

Combined with a political system that brings people like Hollande (or Rutte in Holland) as CEO of a 1,2,3 Tn 'business'. They are simply highschool teachers (at least Barry would have been a prof at a top university) that never outgrow their original training/education.

Which gives us France. Much too late with measures and hardly any of the measures at this stage will work. All are based on the assumption that there is still more solidarity capacity left in their population. While there never was (otherwise they would not have to borrow heavily and stimulate the economy with that to 'hide' the failing of the system in the first place) and even less there is now.
Things most likely first have to go terribly wrong however to start moving into the right direction again.

Which brings us to French investments. The crap that is basically on their door now is clearly not priced in. prices are artificially high (by letting state or semi state institutions buy them at overinflated prices, local banks and pensionfunds for instance). But it is not buying time to solve things it it simply using it last resources to keep the living dead alive.

Which brings me to the point that as all sectors of the economy have become increasingly interconnected this way (keeping the turd nicely polished), a bang will be hard and affect all (there is simply too much rubbish under the surface that will come up in a long term structural crisis like this, if no proper measures are taken (and they are not)).
It really looks like a cliff they will be falling off. Hope they throw Hollande in when they are at the edge, but some way I doubt that (the system doesnot work that way). Hollande is probably the political equivalent of Schrodinger's cat. Directing his people on top of the cliff over the edge. While at the bottom of the cliff working hard to make the canyon even deeper.
November 2, 2012 | Unregistered CommenterRik
OK so you have "competitiveness" that drives down wages, coupled with "real estate development " that inflates housing values (why do it otherwise) and then you expect the homeless to be good little capitalists, work hard and buy a nice home. I see. That's got to work hasn't it?
I have another great idea. Get rid of the police and the judiciary. Save loads of dosh that way. Free individuals can then buy "Justice Insurance" (like health insurance). Essentially, if you are robbed or your wife is murdered you get a PRIVATE police force to apprehend the villain and a private judiciary to put him/her in a private slammer payed for by your Justice Insurance. Large areas of the country (Trenton NJ) are totally lawless of course with gibbets in the streets and corpses in the gutter, but, hey, it's a measure of our freedoms! If you want to go there you get a PRIVATE militia (Humvees, a tank, an armed detachment) on your "Justice Insurance". Tell Ron Paul, he's going to just love it.....Come to think of it Trenton is like that now, so you've got a head start
November 2, 2012 | Unregistered CommenterRoger Yates
Putting the people who you represent before corporate, financial interest is breath of fresh air.

To find people of a money oriented, personal wealth centred, disposition (I assume that would be a large proportion of folks reading economics news and comment such as this) spinning and slurring it to the negative is hardly surprising.

Time and again history shows us that long term economic progress comes to those who narrow the gap between the rich and poor. But, hey, it's much easier for the self-centred individual to profit from large chasms in society and high economic volatility so we see a set of society pushing for that instead out of self interest.
November 2, 2012 | Unregistered Commenternat
On this issue, it has to be understood that as for almost all this government does, it is a double whammy:
1. on the political opinion side, it is a way to satisfy the extreme left by taking a symbolic measure. It will be boasted as a very political measure to punish the rich, or otherwise insufficiently "patriotic" people refusing to rent. One has to understand that the recent modifications of eviction laws making it very difficult to recoup one's property before a year or two in court proceedings, the fact we're entering the legal "non-eviction" winter period that lasts over 4 months, the added costs of renting due to new environment laws and regulations are but a few of the reasons to explain this phenomenon.
2. on the reality side, most of the surface concerned is in fact the property of major insurance and financial institutions. They do not rent the goods simply because they cannot at current prices. That it would incur high renovation and upgrading costs and the ability to get local government (cities) to accept the modification of the real estate good's actual destination. All of which are long, costly and unsure. So in pure socialist cronyism the state will requisition these, renovate and pay rent to these banks and insurers, with a level of financial security the owners could not have dreamed of...
But all this has to be understood in respect to what the French state has become: a socialist and statist place where the nomenkatura buys its way to power through clientelistic vote puchasing. The push by several parties (including those in power) to impose the voting rights of immigrants (non EU citizens) in local elections is the last example of this. Of course there are people favourable to total freedom of circulation and those who believe in a world without nations or borders. But this isn't the real issue. Immigration is favoured by this government (as by all its predecessors for the last 30 years) to the tune of roughly 300k a year (but this figure is probably more realistically of the order of 500k, which is about 0.8% of the population). The newcomers are neither required to have means of existence, diplomas or any other prerequisites to enter the country. As a matter of fact, when they are declared illegal aliens, they are very rarely expelled. But if they are not required much of, they are on the other hand entitled to just about everything, included housing. By law. This is the "right to housing law".
Now how does this work? Well several new laws have been passed that impose much tighter regulation on new homes, especially concerning energy efficiency. New constructions have to meet energy consumption standards designed to be less than 25% of present levels. On the other hand, every local government (city, municipality etc) has a legal obligation to have at least 25% of all new construction (by residents numbers) to be devoted to collective programs designed to be let to lower income people. Now who decides who lives there? Well, the local authorities have a choice of operators, largely linked to political interests, which boosts even more their local cronyism and vote clientelism, but a significant proportion (20%?) of the applications will be directly filled by state services. These will work in order to resolve the most dramatic cases, namely people left out on the streets. No, no. I'm not talking about French people here. French people on the street are mainly men (and to a lesser degree women) "living" alone, and better parked in temporary shelters (from which they flee, hence their sad presence on the streets). No, I'm talking whole families or women with children (French law favours "family regroupment" so often women with children come first in order to secure a dwelling and rights). And who is more devoid of any means of survival than fresh immigrants from very poor countries? Because of the urgency, they are first on a priority list, getting ahead as they arrive of people with very low wages who have been waiting sometimes for more than ten years.
And everything is done in the same way.
Three more examples of this type of management:
1. Yearly fines (for not building your 25% quota) are levied in accordance, at such a cost as to make it prohibitive to even very rich municipalities. These fines are of course transferred to the municipalities with lower income levels in order to build more low income housing. But a regular tax scheme also exists to transfer "richesses" from the richer districts to lower income ones for the same purpose.
2. You may ask rightfully: but wait, after a while, all housing is low income housing, no? Well.. no. Because there is no law to kick out of these the people who no longer meet the initial selection criteria. And because there was such an abuse in some places of the buildings themselves, and such dereliction that the local managing companies could not repare or maintain properly the properties. So what did they do? Did they go after the people who destroyed these "common goods"? Of course not. They decided to sell at very very low prices the concerned properties to those living in them. Of course, by measure of equity, this was generalized to all low income properties or close to it. After all, it wasn't like the politicians or their dedicated electorate actually paid for this themselves. There were others to do so: the "rich", which often included low income people, but what the heck! Now this of course doesn't take into consideration the fact that it has been proven that large concentrations of these dwellings were not the best way to generate proper social integration (officially in terms of revenue, but in reality in terms of population). So governments also began building houses and 2 or 3 units buildings. And more and more (25% is a large percentage and after all it is government that give or not, the building permits) it has occurred that building a low income rent house for a specific family was just as efficient. It also became clear that integration was better achieved if the people concerned felt more... well integrated. So it became mandatory by law to ascertain that the new constructions (the 25%) should be as close as possible to city center and services, such as schools, banks and post offices.
3. By the way, this is of course a total fiasco. When arriving in France, most immigrants will have to live in shabby hotels, until they are no longer without status and are able to "enter the system". The fact that these hotels operate well below security, health and other hazards is well known, but the political operators do want to do anything lest the put these people on the street. So they pay for the rent (yes the state pays for this, or local governments) and at prohibitive prices of course, enableling "the system" to go on. And of course the people living in them do not want to be kicked out, since being there entitles them to be on the priority list of the state programms...
So to make a long story short, the most practical locations, a very low rent (actually zero for a good part, with the state housing aid program for the poor), the lowest energy bill, and the possibility to purchase it from the state at sometimes as low as 40 or 50% of the price. And meanwhile, French workers and engineers, shopowners and retirees see all this and pay for it and are labelled racists at the first hint of disagreement, on what is a social engineering nightmare.
Ah! Last but not least: illegal aliens who are granted free medical care, regardless of the nature of the procedure, are also entitled to non generic medication. In the meanwhile, law abiding tax paying French are not. Generic medication is mandatory under the regular social security status. Aside from state and local employees of course who have a special and more favorable status. Or railroad employees who even have their own medical doctors and programs, or electric and gas companies (utilities) who have their own derogatory system... And also, by the way, neither of which pay for their retirement themselves, but through the generosity of the state. The utilities even have a special tax levied directly on user bills to pay for the unfunded deficit of their retirement compensation plan...

So in fact, the real question is this: how much longer can this last?
November 2, 2012 | Unregistered Commentersimple citoyen
There is very little free space to build in Paris and it is already being built (the city's mayor is a socialist after all, and has been there since 2001, with little hope of the conservatives winning it back in 2014). When a property is put on the market the city often buys it to convert it to affordable housing. Rich foreign bankers and sheiks buying property drive prices through the roof, so that the middle class just cannot live in the city anymore. Something has to be done about it, and what this increase in requisitions means is that owners will get an incentive to rent instead of sitting on properties valued more and more each year. The conservatives were in power in France for the last 10 years, they didn't lose the election for nothing, you know.

An uncle of mine, who retired after a life of public service, low level administrative work (he has no diploma), had been able to buy a flat near the center of Paris (Bastille) in his 20's, like everyone with a job could at the time. Now it's worth a million euros ! The average salary being 1500€ a month, only someone with a far better job than he had can now buy it.
November 4, 2012 | Unregistered CommenterRonan

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