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Tuesday
Nov272012

US Power Grid Vulnerable to Just About Everything

Contributed by Jen Alic, OilPrice.com. Jen Alic is a geopolitical analyst, co-founder of ISA Intel in Sarajevo, and the former editor-in-chief of ISN Security Watch in Zurich.

As Washington hunts ill-defined al-Qaeda groups in the Middle East and Africa, and concerns itself with Iran’s eventual nuclear potential, it has a much more pressing problem at home: Its energy grid is vulnerable to anyone with basic weapons and know-how.

Forget about cyber warfare and highly organized terrorist attacks, a lack of basic physical security on the US power grid means that anyone with a gun—like disgruntled Michigan Militia types, for instance--could do serious damage.

For the past two months, the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) has been tasked with creating a security strategy for the electric grid and hydrocarbon facilities through its newly created Office of Energy Infrastructure Security. So far, it’s not good news.

“There are ways that a very few number of actors with very rudimentary equipment could take down large portions of our grid,” warns FERC Chairman Jon Wellinghoff. This, he says, “is an equal if not greater issue” than cyber security. 

FERC’s gloom-and-doom risk assessment comes on the heels of the recent declassification of a 2007 report by the National Academy of Sciences.

The National Academy of Sciences on 14 November warned that a terrorist attack on the US power grid could wreak more damage than Hurricane Sandy. It could cause massive blackouts for weeks or months at a time. But this would only be the beginning, the Academy warns, spelling out an “end of days” scenario in which blackouts lead to widespread fear, panic and instability.

Related Article: New Yorkers Challenge LIPA, FEMA over Power Outages

What they are hinting at is revolution—and it wouldn’t take much.

So what is being done to mitigate risk? According to FERC, utility companies aren’t doing enough. Unfortunately, FERC does not have the power to order utilities to act in the name of protecting the country’s energy infrastructure. Security is expensive, and more than 90% of the country’s grid is privately owned and regulated by state governments. Private utilities are not likely to feel responsible for footing the bill for security, and states may not be able to afford it. 

One key problem is theoretically a simple one to resolve: a lack of spare parts. According to the National Academy of Sciences, the grid is particularly vulnerable because it is spread out across hundreds of miles with key equipment not sufficiently guarded or antiquated and unable to prevent outages from cascading.

We are talking about some 170,000 miles of voltage transmission line miles fed by 2,100 high-voltage transformers delivering power to 125 million households.

"We could easily be without power across a multistate region for many weeks or months, because we don't have many spare transformers,” according to the Academy.

High-voltage transformers are vulnerable both from within and from outside the substations in which they are housed. Complicating matters, these transformers are huge and difficult to remove. They are also difficult to replace, as they are custom built primarily outside the US. So what is the solution? Perhaps, says the Academy, to design smaller portable transformers that could be used temporarily in an emergency situation.

Related Article: Obama's Nuclear Power Plans

Why was the Academy’s 2007 report only just declassified? Well, its authors were worried that it would be tantamount to providing terrorists with a detailed recipe for attacking and destabilizing America, or perhaps for starting a revolution.

The military at least is preparing to protect its own power supplies. Recently, the US Army Corps of Engineers awarded a $7 million contract for research that demonstrates the integration of electric vehicles, generators and solar arrays to supply emergency power for Fort Carson, Colorado. This is the SPIDERS (Smart Power Infrastructure Demonstration for Energy Reliability and Security), and the Army hopes it will be the answer to more efficient and secure energy.

Back in the civilian world, however, things are moving rather slowly, and the focus remains on the sexier idea of an energy-crippling cyberattack.

Last week, Senator Ed Markey (D-Mass.) urged House Energy and Commerce Committee chairman Rep. Fred Upton (R-Mich.) to pass a bill—the GRID Act--which would secure the grid against cyberattacks.

"As the widespread and, in some cases, still ongoing power outages from Superstorm Sandy have shown us, our electric grid is too fragile and its disruption is too devastating for us to fail to act," Markey wrote. "Given this urgency, it is critical that the House act immediately in a bipartisan manner to ensure our electrical infrastructure is secure."

This bill was passed by the House, but has failed to gain any traction in the Senate. 

FERC, of course, is all for the bill, which would give it the authority to issue orders and regulations to boost the security of the electric grid's computer systems from a cyberattack. But it’s only a small piece of the security puzzle, and FERC remains concerned that authorities are overlooking the myriad simpler threats to the electricity grid. These don’t make for the easy headlines, especially since they are not necessarily foreign in nature. By Jen Alic. Cross-posted from Oilprice.com.

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Reader Comments (4)

Governments are too busy buying votes or being fair whatever you want to call it. But the historic tasks are often neglected, vote buying is simply too expensive and grids donot vote. Same with R&D.
Like their voters they look not much further than from paycheck to paycheck.
History has some examples of similar situations and most ended badly.
November 27, 2012 | Unregistered CommenterRik
Another day, another apocolypse! If the grid is at risk why are utilities wasting money installing smart meters so they can turn your power off remotely? Answer: crazed enviormentalists are partnered with crazier politicians to keep you in fear, when they are the actual morons preventing power plants from being built. I am sure when the power goes off it will be blamed on terror and not because you have a smart meter. Every socialist country blathers on about going back to nature (aka "sustainable") for the peasants, who subsequently keep voting for the people who destroy their standard of living. Note how the grid is problem because it is "spread out". Yeah--cannot let the peasants live where they want! All these scare tactics are softening you up for more government power grabs. Remember how great FEMA performed for Katrina and Sandy?
November 28, 2012 | Unregistered Commenterranger
a what about the coming CME from the Sun, or an EMP weapon shutting everything down-those are much more likely than a laughable "terrorist" scenario
November 28, 2012 | Unregistered CommenterMark
Several things could be done to help mitigate the risk. No way to eliminate it entirely though.

1) Bury & modernize all the transmission lines & equipment that you can. Govt investment in these infrastructure upgrades will employ a lot of people who need jobs. Can't exactly outsource this kind of work to another country. Govt then owns that infrastructure, not private companies who are only interested in deferring maintenance as long as they can so they can line the pockets of the CEO, the Board & the shareholders. If they won't keep it secure

2) Build up pre-positioned stockpiles of critical components around the country. If there aren't enough manufacturing facilities in the US to produce the needed components, start up some new factories and create some more jobs.

3) Germany is a model for decentralizing the power supplies and making individual homeowners less dependent on a private grid by putting solar panels on all roofs that have adequate solar exposure. No reason why we can't do the same. It would lessen the demand on the grid and allow us to reduce its footprint and concentrate on hardening critical generation & transmission features.

4) Maybe it is time to seriously revisit Tesla's "Tower of Power" and wireless transmission of electricity technology. Make the R&D effort to get clean from the petroleum/coal energy model this century's "Moon Shot" initiative.
November 29, 2012 | Unregistered CommenterJames

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