One of the few rebellious Fed heads, Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker, fired a salvo when testifying before the House Judiciary Committee. He hit Wall Street risks covered by implicit government guarantees in the size of America’s GDP.
Entries in Federal Reserve (171)
Stock market bubbles – they allow investors to make the mostest the fastest – don’t happen in a vacuum. They happen in a context. But this time, the context is different. Very different.
By John Mauldin: Far more revealing than Yellen’s testimony on Thursday were two very important papers by the two most senior Federal Reserve staff economists. The thinking that went into them must have been broadly approved by both Bernanke and Yellen.
By Lee Adler, The Wall Street Examiner: Overlaying raw employment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics with the Fed’s balance sheet offers surprising insights. Brief must-see video with excellent chart and explanation. Somebody should send it to Yellen.
We’ve known it all along, but now a former Fed insider confirmed it. QE, despite the Fed’s relentless efforts “to spin it as a tool for helping Main Street,” was “the greatest backdoor Wall Street bailout of all time.” But it’s complicated. He’s a revolving-door Wall-Street banker.
After five years of QE, and $3 trillion in new money floating around, we now have asset bubbles everywhere. Risk is no longer priced into anything. In fact, it has disappeared as a factor. And the Fed is publicly fretting about it.
By James Murray: Crows are considered the most intelligent birds. They can count to three. Anything over three is "many" to a crow. Humans are basically the same way. At some point, numbers get so big that they just become "many."
The Smart Money Denies They’re The Smart Money As They Franticly Sell Their Crown Jewels Before The Bubble Blows Up
“It’s a great time to sell,” mused a pension fund investment officer. And Blackstone Group, the world’s largest private equity firm, is doing exactly that, feverishly, relentlessly, hand over fist, at peak valuations, cashing out. What does that mean for the rest of us?
By Doug French, Casey Research: No wonder investors don't, or shouldn't, take economists seriously. After decades of booms and busts, the latest Nobel Prize co-winner, Eugene Fama, founder of the efficient-market hypothesis, claims the don't exist.
By Michael Lombardi, Profit Confidential: Wherever I look, the fundamentals behind any rally in key stock indices are missing. Prices for key commodities like copper and oil are falling, stock market trading volume is declining, corporate revenues are stagnating, and consumer spending is weak. So why are key stock indices rising?
Earnings estimates for Q3 have been crashing for a year. On October 1, 2012, our brilliant Wall Street analysts estimated that they’d leap 15.9%. As of Friday, these brilliant analysts have chopped their forecasts for the same brilliant quarter down to a measly growth of 2.1%. Stagnation! Now they’re hyping how companies are beating these crummy forecasts!
By johnnygeneric: In a human life, 47 years isn’t all that long. So this is a personal data point of how the Fed has managed, or rather mismanaged, or rather utterly and willfully destroyed, the dollar since his mom sold their trailer in 1966 – and what that would mean in gold today.
The Wall Street machinery was back in business thanks to the Fed’s policies, David Stockman writes. When Extended Stay America exited bankruptcy, its new owner was, well, Blackstone – which had done the LBO. To underscore that speculators had returned to the scene of the strangulation, as it were, its partner in the deal was John Paulson’s hedge fund.
By Lacy H. Hunt, Ph.D., Economist: The Fed's capabilities to engineer changes in economic growth and inflation are asymmetric. Its tools are well suited to fight rampant inflation. But in an excessively over-indebted economy, when it tries to spur growth by cutting interest rates to zero and buying assets, its tools turn out to be powerless.
The US has abused its three phenomenal privileges – including the control of the only world currency – to put global financial stability at risk, “like a truck full of dynamite heading right toward us,” said the chairman of the International Advisory Board of the Universal Credit Rating Group. But a “new financial order” is forming. And there's a timeframe.
David Stockman lashes out at the LBO of Extended Stay, a scam that made Blackstone billions, and saddled taxpayers with the detritus. It’s perhaps the most brilliant explanation ever as to why the Fed bailouts of Wall Street were an asinine idea that benefited the “0.0001%” but hurt everyone else, including taxpayers and the main-street economy.
They’re getting hilarious, the shenanigans on Wall Street. Revenues have been lousy all year, and despite feverish cost cutting, earnings are sliding. The third quarter has been over for almost two weeks, but Q3 earnings estimates are still being pushed down. A lot! So that companies can “exceed expectations.” They’re now at stagnation levels. And stocks soar.
By Shannara Johnson, Chief Editor, Casey Research: "After listening to the speakers, I made sure to program the number of the suicide hotline into my cell phone," real estate expert Andy Miller joked at the beginning of his speech. Rick Rule, resource investor and chairman of Sprott Holdings, quipped, "Amazing – I actually get to be the positive guy here."
By David Stockman (Remarks at the Edmond Safra Center for Ethics, Harvard University): “The Federal budget has become a doomsday machine because the processes of fiscal governance are paralyzed and broken,” Stockman writes. “Under these conditions what remains of our free enterprise economy will buckle under the weight of taxes and crisis.”
Alarm bells went off: “Yellen props stocks,” the headline read. Somebody needs to. Politicians are actively contemplating how to most effectively send the largest and brokest debtor in history into default. Corporate revenues can’t keep up with inflation. Earnings estimates and actual earnings growth plunge. And the S&P 500 soared 16% year to date.