The tiny country of Belgium with a GDP of $484 billion, a country that became famous to the chagrin of some people because it did just fine for a couple of years without a national government – well, it’s growing an enormous mountain of US Treasuries.
Entries in Federal Reserve (223)
A report from the asset management and investment banking division of Groupe BPCE, the second largest bank in France, predicts what daredevil voices at the maligned margin of financial analysis have worried about for a while: another global financial panic.
Hidden in the IMF’s Global Financial Stability Report is a doozie of a chart. “Seek cover, implosion in sight,” it screams. It depicts the bubble in covenant-lite and second-lien loans, the same that helped blow up the banks in 2008. Only this time, they’re even worse.
It didn’t even start with the financial crisis. It started before the 2001 recession. But the strategy exploded in 2009, and it’s still getting worse.
A very inconvenient chart. Inconvenient for the Fed – it turns their rhetoric upside down.
By David Stockman: The world’s official economic institutions are run by people who believe in monetary fairy tales. The 70 words from IMF head Christine Lagarde are par for the course. She asserts that “low-flation” is the obstacle to economic growth in Europe.
The word dollar didn’t even come up when the Bundesbank signed the agreement with the People’s Bank of China. President Xi Jinping and Chancellor Angela Merkel looked on. It was serious business. Everyone knew what this was about. No one had to say it.
By David Stockman: The Fed prints $4 trillion and the national debt jumps $9 trillion in six years. We’re now in month 57 of the expansion, beyond the average 53 months – already on borrowed time. Now comes Professor Krugman proposing to “do something.”
What can possibly go wrong with stocks these days? Five years of the Fed’s QE and zero-interest-rate policy, and look what happened: risks no longer exist. They’ve been priced out of the equation. But now the illusion is ending.
For the millions of unemployed Americans who are looking for a job, this economy is still a historic fiasco. And it’s getting worse again.
Pungent, irascible, razor-sharp – the former Budget Director under President Reagan in peak form (video).
When BlackRock CEO Larry Fink grumbled about “way too much optimism” in the markets, he wasn’t kidding. An entire mindset is benchmarking today’s record metrics against the splendor of 2000 and 2007: not to warn, but to prove that this time it won’t end in tears.
By David Stockman: The Fed and other central banks have planted time bombs all over the global financial system with their money printing spree. Now comes Yellen who speaks of bubbles as a “misalignment of asset prices” and professes not to espy any on the horizon.
What Caused The Glorious Jump In Household Wealth (In One Insanely Good Chart) And Who Will Blow It Up Again?
The stock market has soared for five years, risks have ballooned, home prices have jumped. Gains built on the quicksand of endless liquidity and a lackluster economy. “Irrational exuberance” is back in the Fed's vocabulary. As the Fed’s Fisher said, it may end “in tears.”
By David Stockman: The Fed’s bubble machine has fostered a noxious culture of plunder and entitlement on Wall Street. Now a marauding gang of vulture-speculators demands a multi-billion payday on the worthless Fannie and Freddie preferred stock they scooped up.
“Paranormal liquidity stimulus” leads to “paranormal activity” to deliver that “parabolic overshoot” in asset prices. And there is no bubble in sight, not even in the Nasdaq Biotech index, which is up a cool 375%. Money is once again growing on trees.
Small investors are having fun in the stock market again, after years of sitting out the most phenomenal rally. They’re leveraging up their portfolios. Margin debt is spiking beautifully. Alas, spiking margin debt has a nasty habit of ending in a crash. In one painful chart.
By Dennis Miller: The Fed bailed out too-big-to-fail banks that made bad business decisions. It acknowledged its policies force seniors to put their life savings at risk. It blew a stock bubble that will eventually burst. And bankers are paid record bonuses. What gives?
How long before the dollar surrenders its status as world reserve currency and number-one payment currency to the Chinese yuan and to that other currency everyone loathes?